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According to the Financial Timesglobal M&A review, there was a significant decrease in M&A activity inQ3 and Q4 of 2023.
Listing volumes were down around 10% andtransaction volumes down by about 13%
The two major factors thatinfluenced this reduction were:
High inflation rates globally
Geo - political tensions and resulting uncertainty
Average Valuations during 2023
The above multipliers are applicable for EBITDA greater than $2m Acknowledgement to Equitec for data
Average Deal Structure during 2023 - 24
“Buyers are looking to structure deals to better share the upsides and the risks, anyone of the clearest angles they have to bridge valuation expectations is to use-longer earn-outs.” – Brian Masson – Equitec
Average Deal Structures were as follows:
57%Upfront cash
12%Upfront shares or equity
31%Deferred Earn-out
Theaverage earn-out period is 2 years
Prediction for deal flows in 2024
The Global M&A desk of SS&C Intralinks predict that deal volumes in Q1 2024 will be flat, with marginal decline risks.
Asia Pacific is facing additional headwinds due to the banking and real estate crisis in China.
Notwithstanding the above, most global commentators are optimistic about M&A activity through H1 2024.
“Private Equity still has a record amount of capital to spend and is eager to put it to work.” – John Gannon, Director at Equitec.
Propensity For Acquisitions in 2024
According to Jerome Glynn-Smith, Managing Director, Head of Europe, at Equiteq,
“What we’ve seen is clearly a stabilizing interest rate environment, which is a positive symptom of the market cooling down from an interest rate perspective.Whereas we’ve had a year of companies in the knowledge Economy essentially adjusting their business plans month on month, now we’re starting to see greater stability in this regard, which should have a positive effect on deal-making activity among buyers.”
9 PreDicted Deal making and Financing Trends for M&A in 2024
SS&C Intralinks predict the following9 dealmaking and financing trends for M&A in 2024.
Embracing digital due diligence
Increased regulatory scrutiny
The increasing role of AI in dealmaking
Private credit to remain an attractive financing option
Increasing importance of Post Merger Integration PMI
Threats to Cybersecurity in keeping sensitive information secure